U.S. Winter Outlook: Warmer and Drier South, Wetter North

Typography

A slowly-developing La Nina is favored to influence conditions for the upcoming winter across most of the country, according to NOAA’s U.S.

A slowly-developing La Nina is favored to influence conditions for the upcoming winter across most of the country, according to NOAA’s U.S. Winter Outlook released today by the Climate Prediction Center — a division of NOAA’s National Weather Service. This outlook is for December 2024 through February 2025 and contains information on likely conditions throughout the country for temperature, precipitation and drought.

This winter, NOAA predicts wetter-than-average conditions for the entire northern tier of the continental U.S., particularly in the Pacific Northwest and the Great Lakes region, along with northern and western Alaska. Meanwhile, drier-than-average conditions are expected from the Four Corners region of the Southwest to the Southeast, Gulf Coast and lower mid-Atlantic states.

“In September, we announced a $100 million investment into NOAA’s high-performance computer system to advance research on weather, climate and ocean predictions because understanding our climate system is essential for making longer-term predictions like the Winter Seasonal Outlook, which provides vital information for many of our partners and the public,” said Michael Morgan, Ph.D., NOAA’s assistant secretary of commerce for observation and prediction. “We continue to innovate in this space, developing new ways to share winter forecast information with the public.”

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The Grand Tetons as seen from near Tetonia, Idaho, in 2015 — a low-snow year. NOAA predicts that winter 2024-2025 will bring wetter-than-average conditions for the Pacific Northwest and the Great Lakes states, with drier-than-average conditions expected from the Four Corners region of the Southwest to the Southeast, Gulf Coast and lower mid-Atlantic states. (Photo Credit: Andrew Wells, NOAA Weather in Focus Winner)